Firefighters battling fierce New Mexico wildfires may get help from Mother Nature, but rain could pose flood risk

U.S. Manager 20/06/2024

ROSWELL, N.M. — Cooler weather — and the chance of rain — could bring some relief but also the risk of danger this week to firefighters battling blazes in southern New Mexico that killed one person, damaged hundreds of structures and forced thousands to evacuate.

Strong wind pushed the larger of two wildfires into the mountain village of Ruidoso, forcing residents to flee immediately with little notice Monday. Weather patterns were shifting with moisture from a tropical wave in the Gulf of Mexico, Bladen Breitreiter of the National Weather Service office in Albuquerque said Wednesday.

"It will be a challenging situation going into the late afternoon and evening," said Breitreiter, who has been an incident meteorologist at past wildfires. "The potential for scattered to isolated thunderstorms could help, but it depends on where they hit. If the rain misses the fires, downward winds could cause problems for firefighters on the ground."

Smoke rises as a wildfire left behind extensive property and forest damage in Ruidoso, New Mexico, on June 18, 2024. Kaylee Greenlee Beal / REUTERS

He said rain could also lead to dangerous flash flooding in newly burned areas in the mountainous region.

Ruidoso and much of the Southwest have been exceedingly dry and hot this spring. Those conditions, along with strong wind, whipped flames out of control Monday and Tuesday, rapidly advancing the South Fork Fire into the village. Along with homes and businesses, a regional medical center and the Ruidoso Downs horse track were evacuated.

Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham's office confirmed one fatality as a result of the fire but said it had no further details.

The New Mexico Forestry Division said some 1,400 structures were estimated to have been lost to the South Fork Fire as of late Tuesday. It was unclear how many were houses. The division said the blaze had consumed almost 24 square miles and was zero percent contained. CBS Albuquerque affiliate KRQE reported that the fire spanned 16,335 acres as of Wednesday morning. 

"(Crews are) working along the edges of the fire. They're trying to get some kind of containment and then also resources are engaged in structure protection which is getting ahead of the fire and doing what we can to try and save some homes," George Ducker, the Forestry Division communications coordinator, told KRQE.

Lujan Grisham told KQRE that over 800 first responders are battling the blaze, including 13 wildfire hotshot crews. 

Charlie Barron holds his head in his hands after settling in at an emergency shelter where university and local officials set up cots and other Red Cross resources for those under evacuation orders because of the South Fork Fire at Ruidoso, at Eastern New Mexico University-Roswell in Roswell, New Mexico, on June 17, 2024. Kaylee Greenlee Beal/REUTERS

The other wildfire in the region, dubbed the Salt Fire, had spread to some 8-and-a-half square miles and was also zero percent contained, the division said.

Ardis Holder left Ruidoso with her two young daughters, her gas tank nearly on empty and praying that they'd make it out safely. She was sure the house she rented in the village she grew up in is gone, based on the maps she'd seen.

"We were already seeing where all the fire hit, it's everywhere," she said late Tuesday from a shelter in nearby Roswell. "If there's something standing, that's awesome. But, if not, we were prepared for the worst."

Lujan Grisham declared a county-wide state of emergency that extended to the neighboring Mescalero Apache Reservation, where both fires started, and deployed National Guard troops. The declaration unlocks additional funding and resources to manage the crisis.

Nationwide, wildfires have scorched more than 3,280 square miles this year — a figure higher than the 10-year averages, according to the National Interagency Fire Center. About 20 wildfires currently burning are considered large and uncontained, including blazes in California and Washington state.

The exact causes of the New Mexico blazes hasn't been determined, but the Southwest Coordination Center listed them as human-caused.

"We are deploying every available resource to control these fires," she said.

While many older residents call Ruidoso home year-round, the population of around 7,000 people expands to about 25,000 during the warmer months, when New Mexicans and Texans from hotter climates seek the cool of the leafy aspen trees, hiking trails and a chance to go fishing.

About 1,500 horses stabled at the Ruidoso Downs racetrack were moved in a chaotic scene after authorities ordered they be evacuated for the animals' safety, said horse trainer John Stinebaugh. He had his clients' 42 racehorses moved Tuesday afternoon to Artesia, a city about 100 miles to the southeast, where they were stabled at the local fairgrounds.

"The people here have rolled out the red carpet, provided help with hay and water," said Stinebaugh. "People from all over just showed up with trailers to help move the horses, taking them to ranches all over New Mexico, to Hobbs, Roswell, even El Paso, Texas." 

Nestled within the Lincoln National Forest, Ruidoso boasts nearby amenities including a casino, golf course and ski resort operated by the Mescalero Apache Tribe. Horse races at Ruidoso Downs also draw crowds as home to one of the sport's richest quarter-horse competitions.

Ruidoso residents fled Monday through traffic-clogged downtown streets some described as apocalyptic, with smoke darkening the evening sky, embers raining down and 100-foot flames in the distance climbing over a ridgeline.

The evacuation order came so quickly that Christy Hood and her husband, Richard, only had time to grab their two children and two dogs. Heavy traffic on the way out turned what should have been a 15-minute drive into a harrowing two-hour ordeal.

"As we were leaving, there were flames in front of me and to the side of me," said Hood, a real estate agent in Ruidoso. "And all the animals were just running — charging — trying to get out."

On social media posts, Ruidoso officials didn't mince words: "GO NOW: Do not attempt to gather belongings or protect your home. Evacuate immediately."

As Jacquie and Ernie Escajeda left church Monday in Ruidoso, they saw smoke rise above a mountain behind their house.

They kept a close eye on their cellphones and turned on the radio for updates. There was no "get ready," nor "get set" — it was just "go," Ernie Escajeda said. They grabbed legal documents and other belongings and left.

On Tuesday, the couple got a call from friends who are on vacation in Utah but have a home in Ruidoso that they've been told was destroyed, Jacquie Escajeda said.

"They lost their home," she said. "There's only one home standing in their whole little division that they live in, so there are a lot of structures lost. We have no idea if we're going to have a home to go to."

Public Service Company of New Mexico shut off power to part of the village due to the fire.

Lujan Grisham said cellphone service had been affected in some communities near the fire, and mobile cell towers were being set up to restore communications.

Amid highway closures, many evacuees had little choice but to flee eastward and to the city of Roswell, 75 miles away, where hotels and shelters quickly filled. A rural gas station along the evacuation route was overrun with people and cars.

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