Ground Game: Thursday’s presidential debate, a potential second term for Trump, and Democratic discontent

This newsletter was originally sent out via email to our Ground Game subscribers on June 24, 2024. You can subscribe at any time at apnews.com/newsletters.

Plus, what a second Trump administration could look like, and Democratic discontent over Netanyahu’s pending Capitol Hill visit {beacon}

By Meg Kinnard

June 24, 2024 08:40:47 AM

By Meg Kinnard

June 24, 2024 08:40:47 AM

It's almost time for the first presidential debate. Both Joe Biden and Donald Trump enter Thursday night's face-off with tremendous opportunity – and tremendous risk.  

 

Welcome to this week’s edition of AP Ground Game. 

THE HEADLINES

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden, right, answers a question as President Donald Trump listens during the second and final presidential debate Oct. 22, 2020, in Nashville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Morry Gash, Pool, File) 

High stakes in Thursday’s presidential debate 

Trump has been convicted of 34 felony counts with serious charges in three other indictments still pending. As president, he nominated three of the justices who voted to overturn Roe v. Wade and erode abortion access in America, creating a backlash even in conservative-led states. And the presumptive Republican nominee has outlined sweeping second-term plans that include promises of retribution against political enemies in both parties.  

 

Those are major political liabilities. Yet the big question for Biden — fairly or not — is whether he has the physical and mental capacity at 81 years old to press the case against Trump. Perhaps nothing matters more in Thursday's debate than the level of energy and strength the Democratic incumbent projects on stage. 

 

Trump has an opportunity with persuadable swing voters and moderates who fueled Biden’s victory four years ago and now express concerns about both candidates. But to win over the so-called “double haters,” Trump cannot simply lean into the red-meat talking points, personal insults and conspiracy theories that typically dominate his public appearances.  

 

In short, Trump needs to be somewhat boring on Thursday night. Can he stay disciplined? Read more. 

Of note:

It's worth noting that the candidates are bypassing the traditional structure determined by the Commission on Presidential Debates and instead relying on a set of mutually agreed rules and conditions. Debating at a CNN studio in Atlanta with no audience, there will be no opening statements. And each candidate’s microphone will be muted, except when it’s his turn to speak. 

Related reads  

  • How Biden and Trump are taking very different approaches to preparing for next week’s debate 
  • Biden and allied Republicans are trying to rally GOP women in swing-state suburbs away from Trump 
  • GOP targets a Biden executive order on voter registration ahead of the fall election 
  • Seeing is believing? Not necessarily when it comes to video clips of Biden and Trump 

What a second Trump administration could look like 

Trump allies have long prepared for a potential second term. Now, one group is assembling a list of employees who could be reassigned or fired.  

 

Tom Jones and his American Accountability Foundation are digging into the backgrounds, social media posts and commentary of key high-ranking government employees, starting with the Department of Homeland Security. They’re relying in part on tips from his network of conservative contacts, including even workers themselves. In a move that alarms some, they are preparing to publish the findings online.  

 

With a $100,000 grant from the influential Heritage Foundation, the goal is to post 100 names of government workers to a website this summer to show a potential new administration who might be standing in the way of a second-term Trump agenda – and ripe for scrutiny, reclassifications, reassignments or firings.  Read more. 

Of note:

Jones' Project Sovereignty 2025 comes as Heritage’s own Project 2025 is laying the groundwork, with policies, proposals and personnel ready day one of a possible new White House.

Related reads  

  • Trump endorses Ten Commandments in schools, implores evangelical Christians to vote in November 
  • Here’s a look at Trump’s VP shortlist and why each contender may get picked or fall short 
  • Teamsters president will speak at the Republican National Convention 
  • Former first lady Melania Trump stays out of the public eye as Donald Trump runs for president 

Democratic discontent around Netanyahu address 

While some Democrats are saying they will attend Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's July 24 address to Congress out of respect for Israel, a larger faction of the party says it wants nothing to do with it.  

 

The result is an extraordinarily charged atmosphere at a gathering that would otherwise be a ceremonial, bipartisan show of support. 

 

Israel's ongoing war with Hamas after the militant group's Oct. 7 attack has splintered Democrats over whether Biden is doing enough to limit civilian casualties while also backing a longtime American ally. 

 

Interviews with more than a dozen Democrats revealed the breadth of discontent over the coming address, which many feel is a Republican ploy intended to divide their party. Some Democrats say they will attend to express their support for Israel, not Netanyahu. Read more. 

Of note:

The invitation from House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., to Netanyahu came after consultation with the White House, according to a person familiar with the matter who was granted anonymity to discuss the sensitive subject. As of now, no meeting with Biden has been scheduled, this person said.

Related reads  

  • Netanyahu says Israel is winding down its Gaza operations. But he warns a Lebanon war could be next 
  • An Israel offensive into Lebanon risks an Iranian military response, top US military leader says 

TRAIL PHOTO

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump, center, greets customers and staff at Tony and Nick's Steaks as rapper QT-7 Quanny, left, looks on, Saturday, June 22, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Chris Szagola) 

ON THE CALENDAR

  • Biden and Trump meet Thursday at CNN’s studios in Atlanta for the first of two scheduled general election presidential debates. 

CANDIDATE CHECK

Trump’s campaign outraised Biden by more than $60 million last month, according to federal filings that detailed the Republican fundraising explosion sparked by Trump’s felony convictions. Read more. 

 

Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. filed paperwork Thursday to get on the ballot for the November election in swing-state Pennsylvania, the state’s election office said. Read more. 

2024 COUNTDOWN

OUTSIDE OF WASHINGTON

Replacing Romney: In the race to replace its senator, Utah weighs a Trump loyalist and a climate-focused congressman 

Long Island limbo: Former CNN anchor takes on professor in primary aimed at finding Democrat who can win on Long Island 

This newsletter was originally sent out via email to our Ground Game subscribers on June 24, 2024. You can subscribe at any time at apnews.com/newsletters.

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